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Can Broadband Infrastructure Handle Digital Prime Time?

 

Originally posted on Advertising Age.

 

All of the social media hype has, to some degree, diverted attention from the bigger storyline to emerge over the last few years – the meteoric rise of long-form, streaming video viewing.

Unlike Twitter and YouTube, which propelled ordinary geeks and moms to cult-like status, the Hollywood content community here has been the runaway winner. There’s more demand than ever for professionally created and curated content.

However, a new dynamic is emerging that could completely upend the economics – that is if it doesn’t break the Internet first.

First, a look at the trend lines.

For years streaming video was a two-foot viewing experience that took place largely at desks via PCs. While YouTube’s user-generated and viral clips dominate short fare, long-form streaming video is coming into its own and on different platforms.

The entertainment community – with the help of partners and in a race against piracy – has been aggressive in making their content available as on-demand streams rather than solely as downloads. This means that studio content is now far more widely available than ever before – and it’s “couch friendly” too. Online video has become a seamless archipelago that spans a one-foot experience on smartphones and tablets to a ten-foot experience on set-top-enabled TVs.

Consider Netflix, for example. The company’s on-demand video rental service is available on dozens of connected devices. This includes everything from the Roku set-top box to mobile and tablet devices.  By one measure, Americans are eating it up.

Sandvine reported last week that Netflix alone represents a staggering 20 percent of all downstream US Internet traffic during what’s normally primetime (between eight and 10 p.m.) This is remarkable given that the overwhelming majority of Netflix subscribers – 98% according to Sandvine – are not streaming content yet.

Xbox Live, which carries Netflix and other content, is seeing a similar pattern. Larry Hryb (aka Major Nelson), Xbox Live’s Director of Programming, blogged last week that 42 percent of Xbox Live’s more active 25 million US users are streaming an average of an hour of television and movies per day. (Disclosure: Microsoft is an Edelman client)

Digital primetime is here. Madison Avenue should be giddy with excitement. Hulu served nearly 800,000 ads in July, comScore reports. What’s more, the proliferation of interruptions are not stopping Hulu users from watching an average of 2.6 hours of video per month.

But there are potential challenges ahead as Xbox, Netlfix and Hulu supplant the TV nets as the new kings of primetime.

For starters, as more Americans become “cord cutters” we may opt for ad-free on-demand rentals or all-you-can eat subscriptions. The appeal is interruption-free viewing. Some 13% of Americans intend to cut the cord in the next 12 months, according to Strategy Analytics – a market research firm.

However, the more scary scenario is that all of this video consumption and cord cutting could push the Internet to a breaking point.

Nielsen reports that 64 million people watched at least part of the World Cup online. That’s a drop in the bucket by what we’ll see in 2014 when Brazil hosts the event. The Internet may not be ready for it.

Akamai President David Kenny says that in five years the average user will consume two hours a day of HD video. To accommodate this insatiable demand, the Internet will need to increase capacity 548 times from where it is today. Factor in net neutrality debates, cable companies squaring off with TV networks and it’s easy to be pessimistic that there’s enough “shovel-ready” broadband projects underway to pave the way.

Advertisers, not just the content community and distributors, have a significant stake in the future of Internet video. However, the debates around net neutrality and capacity aren’t front page concerns for most us. They need to be.

The danger is that the ad community will be left out of the debate. Even worse it may not have a voice in creating viable ad-supported ways for the providers to invest in infrastructure, just as millions of cord cutters flee cable TV for ad-free content and push the Net to the limit.

 

Image credit: jeffgunn

 

Google Alerts for the Realtime Web


One of the more profound shifts over the last five years is the transformation of the Internet from a web of connected static pages to an avalanche of real-time communication streams. According to Google CEO Eric Schmidt, every two days we fill the web with enough new data to equal all the information created between the dawn of civilization and 2003. Therefore, it’s becoming critical that communicators monitor the entire web – and do so in real-time.

The good news is that both Google and Bing (Microsoft is an Edelman client) have recently added several powerful real-time features that make this more manageable – and free. Neither replaces high-end monitoring/analysis tools. But both are outstanding for maintaining real-time situational awareness.

Google Realtime




Recently Google unveiled a number of enhancements to its realtime search tools, which can be accessed directly via http://www.google.com/realtime or by clicking on the “Updates” link in the left-side navigation bar after you’ve entered in terms on Google.com.

Once you’ve entered a query, Google Realtime will present results in two columns. The left side will continuously drip in all tweets, publicly exposed Facebook status updates as well as streams from Myspace and other social sites as soon as they hit the web. In addition, a small link underneath each result will thread the conversation if it’s in response to someone else.

If you want, you can be alerted every single time Google finds something new on Twitter or Facebook or even the entire web by clicking on the Alerts link at the bottom of the page or by setting alerts up manually at http://www.google.com/alerts. Rather than set up a broad match – e.g. all mentions a word – it’s best to narrow down to a more specific set of words that you might want to track in real-time.

All of the above services are available in 40 languages. But there’s more.

The right side of Google’s Realtime results page lists the most shared links that have your keywords in the title. Up top there’s a graph that reveals the relative volume of conversation by time of day over the past 24 hours. You can also browse by month retroactively going back to February.

Both of these features are invaluable. If you bookmark a search page and revisit it daily you will gain a keen sense for what time of day particular themes are discussed as well as the news and blog sites that tend to reverberate the most across the social web within a given vertical.

Bing Social




Not to be outdone, Microsoft has been on a tear lately in adding features to Bing.

Starting at http://www.bing.com/social you can see a list of the hottest topics of the moment on both Twitter and Facebook. Unlike Google, you can even drill down by source for Twitter or Facebook. Over time it makes it easy to see just how the two social networks are very different.

Like Google Realtime, once you’ve entered in a query on Bing Social if you click on the link that says “Shared Links” Microsoft will present a view of the most popular news stories that are being shared on this topic across Twitter and Facebook combined – or separately if you chose one or the other in left side navigation bar. The key advantage here, over Google Realtime, is the ability to drill down by network. Unlike Google, however, Bing does not offer email/RSS alerts.

Pulling It All Together

Start by setting up some specific searches on Google Realtime and funnel them into daily or instantaneous email alerts, depending on your needs.

In addition, consider bookmarking several Google Realtime and Bing Social pages for your keywords and visit them daily. This, over time, will help you build situational awareness around a given topic.




Page-view PR


It’s no secret that information is exploding, but just how much may shock you.

Americans consume 100,500 words a day, according to a study by the University of California at San Diego – and that doesn’t include any information at work.

What’s worse, as more content is digested digitally, we now scan and skim. Usability expert Jakob Nielsen found that on the average web page users read at most 28% of the words.

While both of these studies focus only on the US, the “Attention Crash” is a global problem – and it’s not going to get any better. This means that the single biggest challenge PR professionals will face in the next 10 years (and perhaps beyond) is in how to secure enough “surface area” to create behavior change.

The good news is that we’re not alone. The media too is struggling to capture fleeting attention spans. Consider this: the average Internet user spends six hours a month on Facebook, according to Nielsen (no relation to Jakob). Most news sites are lucky if they get 20 minutes of a user’s time per month.

However, the media, more so than the PR industry, is successfully coping with these changes by increasingly turning to traffic-generating search engine optimization tactics. Page-view journalism, like it or hate it, is the new reality. And we can learn from the media.

Writers and editors at Hearst Media, for example, use a tool that suggests relevant Google-friendly keywords. The Huffington Post runs two different headlines on a story as it’s published to determine which is stronger – and then it abandons the weaker one. Bloggers change their headlines weeks later to cater to Google. And a rising assortment of content mills (AOL’s Seed.com, Demand Media and Yahoo’s Associated Content) assign thousands of stories to amateur scribes. Payment rates are based on keyword volumes/search demand – i.e. their traffic potential. (The image below shows how AOL uses Seed.com to recruit writers for its network.)

With this in mind, here are three simple tips to help you implement a more traffic-friendly PR campaign.

Use search data to inform message development/story ideas

Google knows more about me than my own mother. The same is true for you. If you’re thinking about breaking up with your significant other, Google knows. Looking for a new car? Google knows. You get the idea. Put your sailboat into these winds and your programs will go further.
 
Start with Google Insights. On this site you can see how the world thinks and searches. This information can be used to help shape messaging strategies and program that increase the likelihood that any earned media will find its way into high-value search results. View Google as media.

Write web-friendly copy

Brevity rules online. Web users are very mission-oriented. This means that any messages that are meant to be consumed/reverberated by others via screens need to be very clear and literal. This is especially key for content that you hope to see spread on Twitter. Write headlines like tweets. For more, see this forthcoming book from Yahoo.

Create and generate socially connected content

Content is king today. If a company isn’t creating or effecting content on a regular basis, they will be invisible. However, in a world where everyone can create, it’s becoming critical that all of the content we generate be socially connected.
 
Three great resources here are rich media sites like Flickr, YouTube and SlideShare. Consider prioritizing these sites over traditional press rooms and/or turn to emerging services like Presslift that already have strong SEO.




The Situationally Aware Business


Originally posted on Forbes.

As I write this column it’s the morning after the long Memorial Day weekend and the web is brimming with activity. Google searches are spiking for Ted Koppel, who’s 40-year-old son was tragically found dead. Twitter, meanwhile, is abuzz over WGM – short for the primetime Korean reality show “We Got Married”. This is perhaps a direct reflection of the service’s growing global appeal. Finally, over on Facebook word is spreading of a scam featuring what’s deemed as a “hilarious video”. A CNN news story on the hoax currently has over 10,000 shares.

All of these are disconnected events; a Polaroid snapshot of our psychology at a single moment in time. Some of these memes are ephemeral. Others may be lasting. However, our success as marketers increasingly hinges on having a deep, real-time understanding of our networked environment and how these themes can impact our programs. Enter situational awareness – an essential skill every CMO-level executive and their staff must build and evolve.

Situational awareness, according to Wikipedia, is “the practice of being aware of what is happening around you to understand how information, events, and your own actions will impact your goals and objectives, both now and in the near future”. It’s common throughout the intelligence community. The White House Situation Room, for example, operates a 24/7 Fusion Center that pulls together 3,000 sources of information into three daily briefings for the President. For more, see this fascinating short video.


What’s important to note is that situational awareness is not a substitute for client/brand monitoring, reporting or measurement. Rather, it’s a complementary set of processes that help you form gut insights that make marketing, public relations and/or digital engagement more efficient and effective.

Most CMOs will not need the intricate web of systems that the White House employs. Yet every marketer should be required to make situational awareness part of his/her daily workflow. It all needs to happen in a focused way, at every level and in both client and agency organizations. The good news is that situational awareness can be quite simple. The bad news is that very few people have created the daily systems or habits required to succeed. Here are three simple tools to add to your workday to get started.

Google Trends

Many marketers look first to Twitter and Facebook for consumer insights. However, they often overlook Google. This is a mistake. Far many more people search than those who engage on social networks. Therefore, Google knows more about you than your own mother. And, much the same, day in and day out it can tell us a ton about what we’re thinking as a society. The Google Trends home page is about as good a barometer as any for what the US and the world is thinking about right now. I try to check into this page several times a day. In many ways, it’s like a 24/7 supermarket checkout line.




Seesmic Web

One of my colleagues described Twitter as the new daily newspaper. A blogger who I met recently at a client event described it as “Google with a brain”. While Twitter’s audience pales in comparison to Google or Facebook, there’s no doubt it’s a critical treasure trove of information for what’s top of mind among opinion elites like the media, celebrities and influencers.

One of my favorite situational awareness tools is Seesmic Web, which only requires a browser to run and can sync with mobile device clients that the company has created for every platform. I keep the site open in a tab in my browser with various lists of people who serve as my window into the online world. Over time, this helps me build a deeper understanding of what makes this entire network and its micro communities tick.




ItsTrending

While it doesn’t have the same ecosystem of tools that Twitter supports, as Facebook slowly opens up its data it’s ushering in all kinds of new tools. Some of these are invaluable for helping us shape aggregated insights into the mindset of those who have elected to live more public lives on Facebook.

ItsTrending is one such tool. The free site data mines Facebook for the most popular links, images, news stories and videos on an array of topics. Several visits a day are all you need to develop a deeper sense for how Facebook themes and memes can impact your programs.




These are just three – there are hundreds of others, many of them are free. What’s key, however, is to find the right tools and package them into your workflow so that you have a gut feel for the various online environments you are engaging in daily and how the macro themes can play a role in success or failure.




Image credit: Laurence Tucker




Digital Lab Notes: How Google Approaches Social Media As A Team Sport


Another month, another visit to Silicon Valley – my home away from home – and, with it, another visit to the Googleplex in search of insights. This time I chatted with Karen Wickre, who oversees Google’s growing armada of blogs and Twitter embassies.

Google, perhaps more than any other company, has a culture of openness. Often a company’s culture shapes its communications strategy. And that’s certainly the case with Google. So social media comes naturally.

Karen first launched Google’s corporate blog back in 2004. Today the company has digital embassies for virtually every product. This armada spans dozens of blogs, Twitter profiles, YouTube and more recently Facebook.

Back when the Official Google Blog launched, posts were conservative. Wickre, a former tech journalist, told me over breakfast that early items were almost whimsical, focusing on the food at Google (which I can assure you, rocks).

While the blog still features some trivial fare, no one could call it – or any of Google’s other digital assets – a light weight. In fact, the opposite is true. Google uses its armada to take on hard issues like China, public policy and privacy. And it largely eschews press releases, unless they are financial or material to shareholders.

While Wickre doesn’t oversee all these embassies, she serves as a beacon for the teams that manage them – subject matter experts like product managers, engineers and marketers. Like a good coach, she provides templates and best practices and answers questions as they come up. Wickre, in the meantime, is turning her attention to how the company can strategically use its own Buzz product.

Wickre is one of an emerging breed of professionals that companies hire to manage/lead companies down the social media path. Not nearly enough credit goes to people like her. These individuals are often the ones who have to effect change – with the help of partners like us.

Google, perhaps more than any other company, is a model of social media success. One reason is that they tap into the three key trends that I wrote about earlier. They are real-time, visible and data driven. However, what they do best is embrace using multiple messages, formats and stories.

I subscribe to a fire hose feed for all the Google blogs as well as their Twitter and Facebook embassies. On any given day you will find a wealth of news, tips and stories that are tailored to specific interests. Only care about Gmail? There’s an embassy for that. How about policy? That too.

However, Google’s social media success goes beyond just having lots of teams engaged. Each venue slants the content to the reader/viewer’s needs and utilizes different formats – short form, long form, video, images and more. The end result is that Google creates massive surface area that make them hard to miss in an age where information choices are ubiquitous.

The takeaway here for companies is that, when possible, they should consider creating several blogs and – more likely – digital embassies inside existing communities. One Twitter presence might not be enough. The same goes with Facebook. (Note that this is just one approach and not the only one. Some advocate centralizing content into a single place. There are pros/cons to each.)

Businesses today need to consider having multiple streams that are mapped to high priority interests. This creates surface area and lots of entry points for stakeholders to get engaged. What’s more, the content should be “hand crafted“- eg tailored to each community. And these spaces should be managed by identifiable employees who are subject matter experts.

This is how I am tailoring my own content. I use Twitter for sharing/conversing around links and news. My new Facebook community is for discussions and sharing insights and observations. While my Posterous blog site is for essays, videos and the occasional digital doodles.

Now scaling might intimidate some. According to a recent Smartbrief survey, time is the chief obstacle to engaging in social communities. However, if a business makes social media a team sport, as Google does, anyone can succeed.


Digital Lab Notes: Study Reveals A Media Agnostic Public


The Pew Internet for the American Life Project is out today with an important study about US news consumers that, in my view, is one of their best yet. While the data only covers the US, it could point to some global macro trends. You can download it here.

Key highlights…

  • While online, most people say they use between two and five online news sources and 65% say they do not have a single favorite website for news. Some 21% say they routinely rely on just one site for news and information
  • 75% of online news consumers say they get news forwarded through email or posts on social networking sites and 52% say they share links to news with others via the same. Those who use social networking sites such as Facebook are also more likely to rely on their tribe for news tips – 17% vs. 10% of those who are not on social networking sites
  • 57% of online Americans use social networking sites such as Facebook, MySpace or LinkedIn – and 97% of them are online news consumers. Some 51% of the social networking users who are in the online-news population say that on a typical day they get news from people they follow on sites like Facebook. That amounts to 28% of all internet users who get news via social networking.
  • Some 37% of internet users have contributed to the creation of news, commentary about it, or dissemination of news via social media. They have done at least one of the following: commenting on a news story (25%); posting a link on a social networking site (17%); tagging content (11%), creating their own original news material or opinion piece (9%), or tweeting about news (3%)
  • So what does this all mean? The implications for PR are significant.

    To me at least, it shows that we are well into an age of Media Agnosticism, something I wrote about here.  It also reaffirms the Trust Barometer findings, which shows that informed publics need to hear things three to five times and from diverse sources before it is believed.

    Here are three considerations for companies:

    First, the study underscores that a single media placement – no matter how powerful – is no longer enough to reach the masses when attention spans are so marginalized. Businesses increasingly need to be ubiquitous in all key relevant venues – online and off. The more we can spread the ball around, the better.

    Second, companies clearly have an opportunity to tap into the power of social networks to amplify the stories that they do tell. This requires a mix of art (relationships, content, etc.) and science (data). Facebook is now a leading driver to news sites according to Hitwise.

    Finally, if consumers are media agnostic, as the study shows, then the door is open for businesses to become media companies themselves by creating or curating their own content. This isn’t easy, but the opportunity is there. And we have vast resources and expertise to do so.


    Digital Lab Notes: Business That's Real-time, Visible and Data-Driven


    Many marketers chase technologies and new channels – e.g. “bright shiny objects.” It’s the trends, however, that are more important and often overlooked. Here are the three key trends that companies should begin to pivot into now.

    This is the year that businesses will recognize they must:

  • Live and act in real-time – and with scale
  • Become more digitally discoverable, despite the challenges of infinite noise
  • Back every decision with data, some of which can be accessed with free tools

  • “Real-time is the New Prime-time”

    In December, when Queen Rania of Jordan spoke at the Le Web conference in Paris, she said “real-time is the new prime-time.” Her highness doesn’t just say it; she lives it. The Queen of Jordan has an active presence on a variety of social networks where she engages and inspires people around the world, all with the intent of driving awareness and engagement for her charitable interests. She engages in real-time in order to ensure she gets heard.

    If an institution, such as Jordan, can be engaged in real-time then why not every business or NGO?

    Consumers have finally migrated from thinking about the web as pages that we browse to an Internet of infinite “streams” where information cascades in real-time, often from friends. Twitter and Facebook feeds are two such streams. However, it goes deeper. News sites like the target="_blank">New York Times are embracing this model too by organizing content by date and time, rather than by priority.

    The challenge here for companies is attention – it’s a finite resource. Information will scale, humans can’t. As a result, businesses will need to focus less on securing surface area and more on time and attention. One solution is to become a real-time business. However, this requires scale. One way to achieve scale is by synchronizing employee engagement and digital engagement strategies.

    Digital Visibility

    The average American visits 87 domains and 2,600 Web pages, according to Nielsen. Outside the U.S., these numbers tend to be smaller. What’s more, fresh data indicates that just a few sites dominate the mix. A target="_blank">comScore study released this week found that Facebook alone accounts for seven percent of all time spent online.

    The upshot of all of this is we are entering a new era of target="_blank">media agnosticism. Faced with infinite choices, we’re drilling down deeper into fewer sites and accessing much of the rest via Google.

    Google is the number one site in almost every country; this means that news drives search and search drives news. But search results are now more real-time and socially driven. The visibility rewards go to businesses that create quality content that’s socially connected – and do so again and again.

    The Data Decade

    Finally, Internet users tend to be very mission-oriented. In other words we need to know what we want and then go seek it out.

    However, things are changing. We’ve entered so much information into little white boxes – ones owned by Twitter, Facebook, Amazon, Google and others – that the machines can surface what we want before we even ask. In other words, the we can actually know what we don’t know. (What’ya know?)

    Welcome to the Data decade. In the next ten years products, news and information will find us through algorithms and the lens of our friends. Companies that take a data-driven approach to comms programs will be in a better position to succeed. In the months ahead I will show you how anyone can easily data mine from their desk to easily understand, anticipate and address such unmet needs.